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Secrets of Sports Betting – The Bookmakers Secrets!

Posted by Kenny On June - 15 - 2010


During the 1980’s, I was part of a group, that used computers to win millions in sports wagers from Las Vegas Casinos. This was before personal computers were in everyday use. The invention we not call the internet was years away from having access to handicapping stats and data.

We were successful for two reasons. First we were ahead of the odds makers in collecting important information. They were still doing things the old way, and we took advantage of that loophole. Those days are gone forever. The second key to success, is to understand how the numbers really work.

ODDS DO NOT PREDICT THE WINNER

Think of it this way. “Odds do not predict who will win. They are actually predicting who the public THINKS will win.” Most sports punters, both professional and novice, do not understand the secrets of the bookmakers.

Two-way sports wagers, (meaning two teams with a 50-50 chance of winning with no ties) are posted at odds of 11-10. This means you wager



College football is considered to be one of the games least touched by dishonesty, because every player is there to play for the pride of the school and nothing else. As there is no money involved for the players they are playing only for their future careers perhaps in the NFL.

The Teams

As there are no salaries involved schools can sign the top players in the country, in fact, a recent report showing the top high school possible recruits revealed that a strong majority had U.S.C. and Texas on their list of college choices – good players want to play at a good school. The problem is that the better teams just keep getting better with the pick of the top players whilst the less fortunate teams struggle to attract the players they need this limits the number of real challengers in this sports arena.

Betting On College Football

As we stated earlier school football is less restricted than the professional game, As a result coaches will try different plays and combinations – this often results in high scoring games. That is why the person betting on college football should not make the mistake of thinking of the odds in terms of the NFL, no matter how weak an NFL player seems they will still be one of the top players in the football world. This is not the case in the amateurs where only a handful of players can hope to be good enough for the NFL. That is why the scores can vary so widely, much more than in the professional game.

The Underdog Effect

Rivalry is hot between schools, meaning that when 2 teams with history meet all bets should be off as no matter what talent is available or how it looks on paper the contest could be close just from the rivalry, we can see throughout the history of college football that the favorite to win can fall to a less talented team who just wanted it that bit more.

Coaches

When betting on football it is important to analyze the coaches as well, will the coach adapt his game plan depending on how the game plays out? Does the coach like to fire away even when the game is won? Knowing these things will give you the edge when it comes to selecting your betting

In Summary

To be a consistent winner when playing the betting game you must understand the differences between the NFL and college football, it sounds simple but many people forget this simple lesson to their detriment. Apply these rules and observations when betting on the school games and you can join the ranks of the successful sports gamblers enjoying the fruits of the college game – Enjoy your gambling and always gamble responsibly.

By: Bob Filsaime

About the Author:
Bob is a legendary sports better. He religiously follows the betting system at Sports Betting Champ to consistently make tons of money in sports betting. Give the program a try now.





Another key to great sports handicapping is finding value in the spread/line wherever possible. If all of the public is betting on one side you better believe the bookies will fade the line on that team so that in the long run, the public is a loser. Successful handicappers look for the long-term edge wherever they can find it.

One interesting thing to note is that the public loves betting favorites especially for Baseball. Two reasons for that include the public’s inability to pick underdogs, and the public’s desire to win now. Favorites win a large percentage of the time but pay out very little when win and cost a lot when lose. The long-term bettor will get burned betting favorites.

Psychologically, after a bettor bets on a heavy favorite and loses the inclination to bet on them the next game is actually very small. The fact that the public will likely steer clear of the favorite in their next game will add value to that team. Coupled with the motivating factor of losing a game it should have won, we have a great play.

Blindly betting on teams coming off a loss as a favorite greater than -200 playing against the same team is 260-131 +14 units over the past 7 seasons. If only matriculated before Game #100, we end up with a system that is 137-56, +35.7 units. That includes an 18-5 run this season, +7.6 performance this season.

Splitting up the system to monitor performance before Game #100 can be argued to be meaningless but for many systems involving favorites, cutting games off at the Game #100 actually has a large impact. An article on this phenomenon will follow.

In summary, going against public opinion is the strongest when coupled with good handicapping strategy to identify proper motivation with the team the public is fading.

By: Bob Filsaime

About the Author:
Bob is a legendary sports better. He religiously follows the betting system at Sports Betting Champ to consistently make tons of money in sports betting. Give the program a try now.